इस हफ्ते सीएमआईई द्वारा जारी की गई नौकरियों के आंकड़ों पर बहस हुई है. सीएमआईई ने पिछले एक साल में 1.1 करोड़ नौकरियों के तथाकथित नुकसान पर अपना डेटा जारी किया है. लेबर ब्यूरो के आंकड़ों के हालिया लीक से यह स्पष्ट हो गया है कि सीएमआईई रोजगार-बेरोजगारी डेटा के लिए एक विश्वसनीय स्रोत नहीं है क्योंकि यह अर्थव्यवस्था में रोजगार सृजन की भ्रमित करने वाली तस्वीर देता है. यदि रोजगार में इतनी तेज गिरावट होती तो यह प्रमुख ‘मैक्रोइकॉनॉमिक इंडिकेटर्स’ में दिखाई देता. सीएमआईई द्वारा लगातार कम हो रहे रोजगार के अनुमान के बावजूद, राजनीतिक दल इसे पसंद करते हैं क्योंकि यह उनके उद्देश्य को सिद्ध करता है. वहीं छद्म बुद्धिजीवी इस डेटा के आधार पर गलत निष्कर्ष निकालते रहते हैं.
श्रम ब्यूरो सीएमआईई और आधिकारिक अनुमानों के बीच के अंतर को स्पष्ट रूप से इंगित करता है. यह तब है जब श्रम ब्यूरो भी बेरोजगारी का ज़्यादा बड़ा अंदाज़ा लगाता है. जाहिर है कि सीएमआईई बेरोजगारी के आकलन की अपनी प्रक्रिया में कुछ गलतियां कर रहा है.
श्रम ब्यूरो के आंकड़ों ने सीएमआईई की बखिया उधेड़ी है और उसकी विश्वसनीयता पर सवाल उठाया है लेकिन सीएमआईई के आंकड़ों का इस्तेमाल अपने स्वार्थ के अनुसार करने वाले किसी राजनेता या किसी मंदमति अर्थशास्त्री ने सीएमआईई पर कोई प्रश्न नहीं उठाया. यह बहुत परेशान करने वाला है क्योंकि हम सीएमआईई डेटा के भीतर की भारी और व्यवस्थित विसंगतियों को इस तरह नजरअंदाज कर रहे हैं.
लेबर ब्यूरो के आंकड़े 8 सेक्टर्स पर आधारित होते हैं जो पूरी अर्थव्यवस्था के अंदर स्थापित है. लेबर ब्यूरो का रोजगार-बेरोजगारी सर्वेक्षण 10 से अधिक कर्मचारियों वाले इन 8 क्षेत्रों के लिए स्थापना सर्वेक्षण पर आधारित है. सर्वेक्षण अपने डिजाइन में एक ‘नॉन-रैंडम’ नमूना है, और यह उन फर्मों की उपेक्षा करता है जिनके पास 10 से कम कर्मचारी हैं. इसके परिणामस्वरूप, अधिकांश छोटे उद्यमों को सर्वेक्षण के दायरे से बाहर रखा जाता है, भले ही वे इन 8 क्षेत्रों के भीतर परिचालन में हों. सर्वेक्षण का डिज़ाइन ऐसा है, जिसके परिणामस्वरूप 3.35 करोड़ कार्यरत लोगों को सर्वेक्षण के उन मानदंडों में शामिल किया जाता है, जिनका नमूना बाद में लिया जाता है.
अतः, सर्वेक्षण में भारत की कुल कार्य शक्ति (लगभग 47 करोड़ लोग) का लगभग 10 प्रतिशत शामिल हैं. इसलिए इसकी बहुत छोटी कवरेज है और इसका उपयोग पूरी अर्थव्यवस्था के लिए निष्कर्ष निकालने के लिए नहीं किया जा सकता. लेबर ब्यूरो रोजगार, बेरोजगारी सर्वेक्षण की समस्याएं नई नहीं हैं क्योंकि यह अतीत में कई चर्चाओं का विषय बनी है. इन चर्चाओं के परिणामस्वरूप सरकार ने आवधिक श्रम बल सर्वेक्षण करने का निर्णय लिया, जिसके परिणाम सरकार द्वारा जारी किए जाने हैं.
ध्यान देने लायक महत्वपूर्ण बिंदु यह है कि पहले दिन से ही तथाकथित ‘प्रख्यात’ बुद्धिजीवियों ने सीएमआईई डेटा की रिपोर्ट का उपयोग कर रोजगार सृजन की स्थिति के विषय पर सरकार के ऊपर सवाल उठाने का फैसला किया था. हालांकि उन्होंने इस तथ्य को आसानी से नजरअंदाज कर दिया कि उनके डेटा का स्रोत गंभीर त्रुटियों से ग्रस्त है. फिर भी सरकार पर सवाल उठाने के इस अवसर का फायदा उठाने के लिए उन्होंने बिना कुछ सोचे समझे एक गलत निष्कर्ष निकाल लिया.
भारत में नौकरियों के कई अनुमान मौजूद हैं लेकिन कल्पना के आधार पर कोई यह नहीं कह सकता है कि पिछले चार वर्षों में अर्थव्यवस्था के भीतर कोई रोजगार सृजन हुआ ही नहीं है. हालांकि आलोचकों को अपने एजेंडे के अनुरूप अपना डेटा लेने की स्वतंत्रता है, लेकिन तथ्य यह है कि भारत में रोजगार की सटीक स्थिति का केवल एक ही विश्वसनीय स्रोत है और हमें किसी भी मुद्दे पर टिप्पणी करने से पहले इसके निष्कर्ष जारी होने की प्रतीक्षा करनी चाहिए.
लेखक: Economic Gyani
65 Comments
458856 362719Nice read. I just passed this onto a buddy who was doing some research on that. He just bought me lunch since I identified it for him! Thus let me rephrase: Thanx for lunch! 590289
844516 960058Thank you for any other informative website. The place else could I am getting that type of information written in such an ideal approach? 426569
270023 973981This design is incredible! You definitely know how to keep a reader amused. Between your wit and your videos, I was almost moved to start my own weblog (effectively, almostHaHa!) Fantastic job. I genuinely loved what you had to say, and a lot more than that, how you presented it. Too cool! 181347
184622 759860Amaze! Thank you! I constantly wished to produce in my internet internet site a thing like that. Can I take element with the publish to my weblog? 891299
717113 833035Hey! I merely wish to give an enormous thumbs up for the very good information youve got here on this post. I will likely be coming back to your weblog for a lot more soon. 877533
340740 608573I actually enjoyed your remarkable site. Be certain to maintain it up. May possibly god bless you !!!! 657671
434046 591668fantastic post, quite informative. I wonder why the other experts of this sector do not notice this. You must continue your writing. Im confident, youve a great readers base already! 266085
328812 642421Echt tolle Seite. Rubbish bin eigentlich nur per Zufall hier gelandet, aber ich bin jetzt schon complete von der tremendous Seite beeindruckt. Gratuliere dazu!! Viel Erfolg noch durch der sehr guten Home-page mein Freund. 838721
564497 384000Hi there! Nice post! Please do inform us when we could see a follow up! 821279
666285 259058Does your site have a contact page? Im having trouble locating it but, Id like to send you an e-mail. Ive got some suggestions for your weblog you might be interested in hearing. Either way, wonderful blog and I look forward to seeing it develop more than time. 759142
697814 222882I truly like this weblog internet site, will certainly come back once more. Make certain you carry on creating quality content material articles. 105257
946546 17337You got a quite excellent web site, Glad I noticed it by means of yahoo. 120640
233881 14174I gotta favorite this website it seems invaluable extremely valuable 785098
199417 141710Exceptional blog here! Also your website loads up rapidly! What host are you using? Can I get your affiliate link to your host? I wish my internet site loaded up as swiftly as yours lol 369449
482545 594716The when I just read a blog, Im hoping that this doesnt disappoint me approximately this one. Get real, Yes, it was my method to read, but When i thought youd have something fascinating to state. All I hear is a number of whining about something which you could fix ought to you werent too busy trying to uncover attention. 378374
429062 128291hey was just seeing if you minded a comment. i like your website and the theme you picked is super. I will likely be back. 992497
828945 117918A quite quite intriguing article! Ill try to track that continues here! Thank you. 413264
398178 328623This really is a nice blog i ought to say, usually i don????t post comments on others???? blogs but would like to say that this post really forced me to do so! 843442
755702 245198I discovered your weblog site on google and check a couple of of your early posts. Proceed to maintain up the extremely excellent operate. I just extra up your RSS feed to my MSN News Reader. Searching for ahead to reading extra from you later on! 67116
58809 535281My spouse and I stumbled more than here from a different internet site and thought I could as effectively check things out. I like what I see so now im following you. Look forward to going more than your web page repeatedly. 38414
634314 966915I like this post, enjoyed this 1 appreciate it for putting up. 782828
969902 528097Extremely fascinating topic , appreciate it for posting . 182673
68942 939936Methods for dilution antimicrobial susceptibility beadlets for beagles that grow aerobically-fifth edition. 835536
19665 914504HURRAY! cant balladeer. by virtue of himself by what name highly. 101436
535789 751807Wonderful weblog, Im going to spend much more time reading about this topic 920303
503345 719068Hello! I just wanted to ask if you ever have any problems with hackers? My last blog (wordpress) was hacked and I ended up losing many months of hard work due to no back up. Do you have any methods to prevent hackers? 422853
604240 746338An interesting discussion is price comment. I feel that you must write extra on this topic, it may well not be a taboo subject but typically individuals are not enough to talk on such topics. To the next. Cheers 293619
178282 719007Currently it seems like BlogEngine will be the very best blogging platform out there proper now. (from what Ive read) Is that what you are employing on your blog? 56947
843771 508239I cant say that I completely agree, but then once more Ive never truly thought of it quite like that before. Thanks for giving me something to consider when Im supposed to have an empty mind while trying to fall asleep tonight lol.. 364101
818192 636186I ran into this page accidentally, surprisingly, this really is a great internet site. The site owner has done an excellent job writing/collecting articles to post, the information here is truly insightful. You just secured yourself a guarenteed reader. 760075
29422 634582Currently it seems like BlogEngine will be the very best blogging platform out there right now. (from what Ive read) Is that what you are making use of on your weblog? 593707
801759 203717Hello, Neat post. There is an concern along with your website in internet explorer, may well test thisK IE nonetheless may be the marketplace chief and a big section of individuals will pass more than your outstanding writing due to this difficulty. 229959
880032 181358This site can be a walk-by way of for all of the data you necessary about this and didnt know who to ask. Glimpse here, and also you will certainly uncover it. 573211
369869 785261very nice post, i certainly enjoy this internet site, maintain on it 971535
922391 335282Black Ops Zombies […]some people nonetheless have not played this game. Its hard to picture or believe, but yes, some folks are missing out on all of the enjoyable.[…] 873530
662994 728683Thanks for the sensible critique. Me and my neighbor were just preparing to do some research about this. We got a grab a book from our region library but I feel I learned more from this post. Im quite glad to see such great info being shared freely out there. 800590
935892 989071Thanks for the wonderful post against your weblog, it genuinely provides me with a look about this topic.??;~.?? 123778
509764 91036I saw a great deal of web site but I believe this one has got something particular in it in it 248585
740250 571599Some times its a discomfort in the ass to read what blog owners wrote but this internet website is rattling user friendly ! . 629079
572059 74203Hi! Excellent post! Please do tell us when I will see a follow up! 348976
661856 257903Your blog is among the much better blogs Ive came across in months. Thank you for your posts and all of the very best with your function and weblog. Seeking forward to reading new entries! 782603
914592 704299Hello I found the Totally free Simple Shopping Icons Download | Design, Tech and Internet post extremely interesting therefore Ive included our track-back for it on my own webpage, continue the excellent job:) 175595
http://www.piratecrypto.co.kr BitcoinNewsSite
BigNews
비트코인 리딩방
26430
http://www.piratecrypto.co.kr BitcoinNewsSite
BigNews
비트코인 리딩방
55717
메이저놀이터
안전한놀이터는 NOLSAVE
94731
http://www.piratecrypto.co.kr BitcoinNewsSite
BigNews
비트코인 리딩방
62486
http://www.piratecrypto.co.kr BitcoinNewsSite
BigNews
비트코인 리딩방
26052
메이저놀이터
안전한놀이터는 NOLSAVE
75478
http://www.piratecrypto.co.kr BitcoinNewsSite
BigNews
비트코인 리딩방
43009
895836 699707Visiting begin a business venture about the web typically indicates exposing your products or services moreover provider not only to some individuals inside your town, but but to a great deal of future prospects who may possibly be over the web a lot of times. simple internet business 336252
메이저놀이터
안전한놀이터는 NOLSAVE
32824
http://www.piratecrypto.co.kr BitcoinNewsSite
BigNews
비트코인 리딩방
10706
메이저놀이터
안전한놀이터는 NOLSAVE
18779
http://www.piratecrypto.co.kr BitcoinNewsSite
BigNews
비트코인 리딩방
11021
메이저놀이터
안전한놀이터는 NOLSAVE
32849
http://www.piratecrypto.co.kr BitcoinNewsSite
BigNews
비트코인 리딩방
64669
845048 60782I just couldnt depart your internet site prior to suggesting that I very enjoyed the regular info an individual offer for your visitors? Is gonna be back often as a way to inspect new posts 76744
메이저놀이터
안전한놀이터는 NOLSAVE
43230
http://www.piratecrypto.co.kr BitcoinNewsSite
BigNews
비트코인 리딩방
31502
http://www.piratecrypto.co.kr BitcoinNewsSite
BigNews
비트코인 리딩방
41743
메이저놀이터
안전한놀이터는 NOLSAVE
77805
메이저놀이터
안전한놀이터는 NOLSAVE
10018
77457사설 토토 안정공원 메이저 놀이터 안헌잔놀이터 검증된놀이터
메이저놀이터는 NOLSAVE
52280
22148사설 토토 안정공원 메이저 놀이터 안헌잔놀이터 검증된놀이터
메이저놀이터는 NOLSAVE
79419
32742Myka is Very Nice gamesite
Big website
33306